Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

March 28, 2007

CO2 and Heat Cycle


No time for prose today.

Here is a graph from the European Environment Agency.

Again, it is clear that our climate cycle is consistent. Actually, from a stock analysis view the trend line is down, see the colds are getting colder.

The CO2 spike is from 275 ppm to 375 ppm, which I compute without the aid of any useful devices to be a variance of about 27%, not a doubling as the visual conveys, assuming the data are reliable, but what that data means remains to be seen.

Clearly, the heat spiked before the very recent CO2 blast, so there seems to be an argument that the CO2 did not cause the heat spike. Prior cycles don't indicate the converse - that heat causes the CO2 increase. But, data is too fragile and thin to make any strong argument like that, unless you are a politician.

It just may be that the CO2 and warming are buddies that travel together. And, seriously, what caused the historical spikes in CO2? It wasn't us.

The big problem is what will the near future show? Again, only politicians and researchers with global warming grants venture into this area.

I am most fearful of Dr. Felix's analysis - we are heading into an ice age, which are always preceded by a warming spike. [Don't let his goofy site turn you off - he is a 90 something paleoclimatologist, if I recall correctly]

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