Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

April 08, 2007

Last Two Winters Colder than Average


Happy Easter.

It snowed last night and the wind is howling. This being a cold April, I took a look at NYSERDA's heating degree days for this winter - through March. The numbers below are for Albany, NY.

Notice this winter was much cooler than the 30 year average of 1971 -2000. Wait until next month when I can average in April.

Hey, last year was significantly colder than the 30 year average. That is not supposed to be happening.

You may well say that this is hardly a trend; it is only a snap shot in time. OK.

Keep that thought when you come upon anecdotal judgments about the Earth from bureaucrats who want billions of dollars for their NGOs. Einstein once remarked that if you can't trust someone with the little things, you can't trust them with the big ones. Making up stuff to create a stampede is not the basis of credibility, even if it works.

Making bold and sweeping claims about humans and climate change requires powerful data, not an NGO committee vote, not a lie about the Aral Sea by Al Gore, and not personal attacks on those whose votes were never solicited.

It looks like we had a good recent December, unless you were a skier.

Monthly Heating Degree Day
Month: Current Year: Last Year: Normal:
October 500 410 463
November 608 674 787
December 918 1179 1085
January 1160 1031 1257
February
1275
1040
1070
March 1027 895 889

Note: Normal is a 30-year degree day average value for the period 1971-2000.
Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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