Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

August 25, 2009

All in

Good thumb sucker.

It used to be Rasmussen Reports was awarded accolades for its accuracy, such as projecting the Obama victory very close to dead on. Indeed, Fordham's analysis of pollsters rated Rasmussen No. 1. But, now, obviously, the company has been taken over by deniers and birthers, as its results are not supportive.

Greg and I were talking, as usual perplexed by "apparent" irrational actions which suggested a complex strategy, and Greg mentioned that the adamant acts of the politicians, in the face of resistance, must mean the left (perhaps) is "all in." That was a few weeks ago, that analysis is stronger in light of the continuing government disregard for popular opinion. [The picture is artwork from Reuters, keep that in mind. News services enjoy being the Ministry of Propoganda.]

The powers behind the statist movement that is taking place are all in, all the chips are on the table. There has been an analysis that we are at the point that the entire game can be taken AND the statists think they have the cards, i.e. being mindless voters.

So, the parties are standing at the table, behind their chairs, as the cards are being played out. This is the highest stakes hand this nation has faced. If the Constitution and the common law survive, it will be a good time to dissect what is going on and who is directing the game. Who has been sucking money from each of us to give to bankers, unions, and refusing benefits to workers at Dole.

Obviously, the brains behind the hand are not Obama or Pelosi etc. These are useful chips who don't even know what is written on their sides. What happens to them is now less important to the players than taking control of peoples' lives, winning the entire game, probably for economic reasons. Cards are in hand and those not watchin Oprah are watching the table to see where the cards lead. Odds are merely odds, no matter how finely calculated, not the endgame. In addition, calculation can't be properly computed when data must be run through a filter.

All in, right now, is an interesting strategy. Usually, the left plays is a game of brinkmanship, of incrementalism, but no more. It is itme to make the final play. If they win, I don't know that we can recover the traditions of America. It becomes time to disappear from the game room.

The GOP is a dithering drunk trying to remember what Reagan said, a weakened opponent for sure, but the future seems to be moving away from the power structures standing behind the chairs. In the end, the cards matter.

We will see if the statists have made the correct "all in" move. Here is some evidence that they may have been premature, but they do have a good hand.

Italic

Of course, this poll was attacked as distorted in the way it was put together, what Rasmussen wanted to demonstrate, the intensity of support, so

The last three months have witnessed one of the best stock markets in history, so something else is afoot in these numbers, no? Serious bad news is to come, soon, and it will not the Bush's fault. That dog can't run anymore, it is dead. Bush did not ignite all the fires of inflation. He bemoaned the, now, little "bail out" he pushed through in a week. Indeed, the right is still critical of the move.

Finally, the Rules for Radicals doesn't make sense when you are in control. Applying fear and hysteria is nuts if you are in charge, unless you can blame the Jews and Gypsies. In the U.S., you can't blame business for long, except to the Eloi and trogledytes, as we are a nation of businesses. We are a people defined by commerce. We are producers who were too busy to notice the abusers took power. The enomic minds of the electorate are now engaged.

What is good for General Motors is, now, anathema to the country and, increasingly, people get it.

By the way, 72% of NY Democrats think their folks are trying hard. QED.
--------

Perceptions of Obama

Results

Links

Obama Approval Index

-11

A, C, T

Strongly Approve

29%

A, C, T

Strongly Disapprove

40%

A, C, T

Taxes Will Go Down

6%

A, C, T

Gov't Spending Will Go Up

70%

A, C, T

Obama on Economy - Ex/Good

42%

V, C, T

Obama on Nat'l Sec - Ex/Good

44%

A, C, T

Leadership - Ex/Good

45%

A, C, T

Views Society as Fair

39%

V, C, T

Politically Liberal

77%

A, C, T

Iraq Priority - Troops Home

59%

A, C, T

Troops Home - End of 1st Term

66%

A, C, T

Obama on Energy - Ex/Good

45%

A, C, T

Supreme Ct Choices Too Liberal

45%

V, C, T

More Ethical Than Most Politicians

38%

A, C, T

Ethics Ex/Good

49%

A, C, T

Trust Obama on Economic Crisis

27%

A, C, T

Select above: A = Article, V = Video, C = Crosstabs, T = Trends


National Tracking: Economy

Links

Rasmussen Consumer Index

78.5

A, C, T

Rasmussen Investor Index

86.3

A, C, T

Rate Economy - Ex/Good

9%

A, C, T

Rate Economy - Poor

51%

A, C, T

Economy Getting Better

28%

A, C, T

Economy Getting Worse

44%

A, C, T

Rate Personal Finances - Ex/Good

35%

A, C, T

Rate Personal Finances - Poor

22%

A, C, T

Finances Getting Better

21%

A, C, T

Finances Getting Worse

48%

A, C, T

Economy in a Recession

74%

A, C, T

select above: A for article, C for crosstabs, T for trends www.rasmussenreports.com


National Tracking: Rasmussen Employment Index

Links

RR Employment Index

57.8

V

Hiring

15%

V

Laying Off

30%

V

Happy with Job

74%

V

Worried about Losing Job

30%

V

select above: A for article, V for video


America's Political Mood

Results

Links

Partisan Identification

Dem +3

A, C, T

Generic Congressional Ballot

GOP +5

A, C, T

Congress: Excellent/Good

14%

A, C, T

Supreme Court: Excellent/Good

44%

A, C, T

The US is on the Wrong Track

60%

A, C, T

America's Best Days in Future

40%

V, C, T

select above: A for article, V for video, C for crosstabs, T for trends
www.rasmussenreports.com


National Tracking: War On Terror

Results

Links

US is Winning the War On Terror

48%

A, C, T

In 6 months, Iraq Will be Better

34%

A, C, T

In 6 months, Afghanistan Will be Better

22%

A, C, T

US is Safer than before 9/11/2001

47%

A, C, T

select above: A for article, C for crosstabs, T for trends
www.rasmussenreports.com


National Tracking: Partisan Politics

Results

Links

More Partisan?

67%

A, C, T

More Cooperative?

16%

A, C, T

Obama Governing as Bipartisan?

33%

A, C, T

GOPs acting Bipartisan?

24%

A, C, T

Dems acting Bipartisan?

20%

A, C, T

select above: A for article, C for crosstabs, T for trends
www.rasmussenreports.com


National Tracking: Taxes

Help

Hurt

Tax Increases Help or Hurt Economy?

16%

54%

Tax Cuts Help or Hurt Economy?

54%

19%

Increases in Gov't Spending Help or Hurt Economy?

30%

50%

Decreases in Gov't Spending Help or Hurt Economy?

46%

26%

See article, crosstabs, or trends


Importance of Issues

Very Important

Links

Economy

86%

A, C, T

Gov't Ethics/Corruption

80%

A, C, T

Health Care

72%

A, C, T

Taxes

63%

A, C, T

Nat'l Security/War on Terror

61%

A, C, T

Social Security

61%

A, C, T

Immigration

59%

A, C, T

Education

58%

A, C, T

Abortion

44%

A, C, T

War in Iraq

43%

A, C, T

Select above: A = Article, C = Crosstabs, T = Trends


Trust on Issues

Dem

GOP

Links

National Security

43%

47%

A, C, T

War in Iraq

42%

42%

A, C, T

Health Care

41%

44%

A, C, T

Economy

40%

46%

A, C, T

Social Security

39%

43%

A, C, T

Education

38%

41%

A, C, T

Abortion

36%

46%

A, C, T

Taxes

35%

51%

A, C, T

Immigration

35%

43%

A, C, T

Gov't Ethics/Corruption

34%

31%

A, C, T

Select above: A = Article, C = Crosstabs, T = Trends


National Tracking: Energy

Results

Links

Global Warming Serious Problem

61%

A, C, T

Global Warming Caused By Humans

39%

A, C, T

Nuclear Power Plants Should Be Built?

52%

A, C, T

select above: A for article, C for crosstabs, T for trends



Congressional Favorables

Fav

Unfav

Links

Nancy Pelosi

30%

64%

V, C, T

Mitch McConnell

26%

37%

V, C, T

Harry Reid

25%

52%

V, C, T

John Boehner

23%

39%

V, C, T

Select above: V = Video, C = Crosstabs, T = Trends

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