Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

June 20, 2010

London not flooded, Antarctica not warming, "Scientists" changing story


Above is a map of Antarctica.  I placed it here as you need a reference point.  The red dots are volcanoes. If "Pine Island" is not also "Peter Island" it is just south.  I will add a map at the end.
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In May 2009, the BBC, part of the mad panic over warming and changing, and sharing a home with the pseudo scientists and investors in the Chicago Climate Exchange,  reports earlier estimates of the ocean's rising and flooding everyone were wrong. Gee
Ice sheet melt threat reassessed
By Mark Kinver
Science and environment reporter, BBC Science and environment reporter, BBC News  
The collapse of a major polar ice sheet will not raise global sea levels as much as previous projections suggest, a team of scientists has calculated.

Writing in Science, the researchers said that the demise of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) would result in a sea level rise of 3.3m (10 ft).

Previous estimates had forecast a rise in the region of five to six metres.

Well, scientists are smart, we assume, and we have to listen when they predict giant flying ants and such. The collapse, we are assured, of the Ross polar ice shelf will not raise global sea levels as much as previous projections suggested - a team of scientists had calculated 17 million people will be displaced.  OMG!

Seems like someone forgot to redo the earlier numbers (and add security to emails). So, at least, we are not looking at over a 6 meter rise by the West Antarctic shelf breaking off, but only 3.3 meters.

I did OK in high school physics in matters such as the design of the toilet and watching ice cubes so I am confidently positing that the shelf is already floating free and that any rise should have already taken place.  We don't need to wait for it to melt. Where's the flooding?

Of course, there will be another theory, once that problem sinks in, so to speak. Rather than wait for the dull to create a new theory, lets address it. It is easy to predict. The likely one is that the Antarctic is warming, in a new way undetected by instruments, so the melt of the glacier still on land will flood Albany! OMG

BBC again:

"We have not had a clear understanding of what is driving this melting because the atmospheric forcing - the temperature at the surface - is not warm enough to cause such a melting,"
Ridge clue to Antarctic ice loss
20 June 2010 T17:57 US  (click on title
By Mark Kinver
Science and environment reporter, BBC New
The discovery of an underwater ridge in West Antarctica could help explain why there has been an acceleration in the ice flowing from a glacier in the area.
Researchers suggest that the base of Pine Island Glacier once sat on the ridge, but recently became detached from the feature...

The scientists, probably confused as to why all the melting and collapsing hasn't flooded London, have kept working.   I think scientists read this blog as they looked to the water temperature under the ice that had been hanging off the ridge. I am glad someone reads it.

Ice dynamics
Dr Dutrieux said that the discovery of the ridge was an important piece in the jig-saw of factors that could be changing the ice dynamics in the region.
"We have not had a clear understanding of what is driving this melting because the atmospheric forcing - the temperature at the surface - is not warm enough to cause such a melting," he added.
"So the hypothesis was that it was coming from the ocean, which was melting the ice shelf from below..."
 So, lets look back in this blog and find a theory.  Oh, the Internet has an instant source:

Surprise! There’s an active volcano under Antarctic ice
Posted on January 22, 2008 by Anthony Watts

The recent BBC article closes:

..."Another process leading to the ice becoming detached from the ridge could have been a change in the water properties that was grinding the shelf from beneath.
He said the presence of the ridge would change the basis of future work on ice dynamics in the area.
"Topography is the main thing that constrains ice flow so, basically, it is going to fundamentally change the way people think about this glacier and the way we understand how it behaves."\
What we are witnessing is scientists attempting to save their reputations while keeping some of that free money coming in from government grants, academia, Gore, Obama, Maurice Strong, Joyce Foundation, Goldman Sachs, and  British investors and so on.

We are in the ninth inning on this carbon exchange scam and the oligarchs are reaching deep into the bull pen, to the detriment of the democratic party in the next several games.  That is a good thing, as long as the false science does not result in a RICO operation becoming law.

No one said there can't be extra innings.

But wait, there is more.  First, look at the "shelves" and compare with the location of the volcanoes, above..


 Look where the Ross shelf was. It was on a ridge with six volcanoes on its east side.  Indeed, volcanic activity may well be the cause of the glaciers in the first place.  
So, you figure I nailed this again and will go about the day forgetting this, but wait, there is more.

Scripps: Antarctic Ice Shelf Collapse Possibly Triggered by Ocean Waves
Posted on February 13, 2010 by Anthony Watts
WUWT readers may remember this article
Watch the Wilkins ice shelf collapse in time lapse animation – looks like ‘current’ events to me where mechanisms other than melt were discussed. It was pointed out that this photo appeared to be showing a stress crack, like the sort you’d get from a wave. Melt makes rounded irregular edges, not sharp straight line ones....
 What the hell, a graph of sea ice:


 The problem is the typical TV non-news will show a "sick glacier" (I swear I heard this on National Geographic) and say, "It is so warm Antarctica is breaking apart (Artist rendition of ice, the size of Mars, snapping off) and we will all be doomed (someday, but after our Chicago Climate Exchange law is passed, we will be saved, albeit be poor serfs)."   
I am open to ideas on how to reach the dullards who vote. Clearly, we need resort to snide comments from stand up comics to inform people. Maybe a movie about crazed and voracious sociology professors who come together in a perfect storm of circumstances to attack and ravage a small community of honest people who go to work everyday.

PS - There is volcanic activity in Greenland under the ice.

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