Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

June 30, 2015

Obama Free Unemployment: 42.9%

Don't feel so bad.  The mathematical unemployment rate (the unAmerican Indicator) is:



2014UnemploymentRate.jpg


David Stockman explains what the real unemployment rate is:

“…the Fed’s current “soft” target of 5.2% on the U-3 unemployment rate is downright ridiculous… The U-3 unemployment rate as a proxy for full employment does not even make it as primitive grade school economics. 

“At the present time, there are 210 million adult Americans between the ages of 16 and 68—to take a plausible measure of the potential work force. That amounts to 420 billion potential labor hours, if we accept the convention that all adults are at least theoretically capable of holding a full-time job (2,000 hours/year) and pulling their share of society’s need for production and work effort. 
“By contrast, during 2014 only 240 billion hours were actually supplied to the US economy, according to the BLS estimates. Technically, therefore, there were 180 billion unemployed labor hours, meaning that the real unemployment rate was 42.9%, not 5.5%!”

Of those working, last I saw, over half are not producing anything, but moving papers around. Be sure to plan for the future. You can do this by watching Greece this week.

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