Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

June 27, 2008

Hansen - this time its global warming, er, change

The graph on the right is from Dr. Lindzer, MIT, who expressed the inner ticking of the various stats re global temperature. I used this one rather than HERE because I couldn't download the colorful one.

Two weeks ago the AlGorythmists dragged out Dr. Hansen of NASA, whom I have mentioned previously, to berate anyone not believing in global warming. I have a news report about this circus below. I didn't publish this, then, as he is becoming boring.

So, we stupid people should be arrested, etc., for not "believing" Dr. Hansen personal view, which he calls an intuition, that we are all going to die of warming - soon. Oh no, its too late. Oh my GOD!

We have to believe him he works for the government, not some prestigious college or company. (By the way, his attacks on Bush are, well, mad, as the President has accepted Hansen's position. This belies his true intentions, as well as Bush's oddities and the media's lack of reportage.) We need to subject ourselves to the geniuses in D.C.

He indeed may be proven on the right side this time, but a broken clock is right twice a day.

Hanson was part of the NASA hysteria over 30 years ago shouting about how our stupidity is bringing the new ice age. The great virtue of the left is it is never burdened by memory or facts. Let me quote a nifty introductory, recent article:

NASA scientist James E. Hansen, who has publicly criticized the Bush administration for dragging its feet on climate change and labeled skeptics of man-made global warming as distracting "court jesters," appears in a 1971 Washington Post article that warns of an impending ice age within 50 years....
I know you may not like the article or its source, so you can go pay for the original article, as noted in the free article, lest you be tricked by the evil people in charge. The initial defense was that he just wrote the software used by NASA. What sort of answer is that? Did he publish a rejection of the, now, rejected conclusion. Terence (of Rome) said "silence is deemed consent." We say, "see which way the wind is blowing."

If you poke around, you will see Hansen has received 1.25 million dollars in awards for his wonderful actions in the past few years. Not bad for a bureaucrat. It pays to work with Al Gore.

In 1981, on the other hand, Hansen wrote global warming had just started, now that he no longer had to use N.A. data. That is, the prior view appeared wrong. (Source is NASA puff piece about Hansen, who is in charge of puff pieces, but it refers to an actual publication, so I will guess there is something to it.) Nice spin - now I have the real facts! Doesn't this bother you? Kafka would understand, as would George Orwell.

What is interesting is that the first assessment may be right.

Of note, the projected increase of warmth by Hansen with all his new data, missed the last decade - bigtime. See Lindzen's graph above. If you find Hansen's predictions, which I am too bored to look for, the slope is some 50 degrees, so far this century, so he was only 50 degrees off. In Hansen's world, we are submerging.

A Lindzen graph you may want to see arrived with a note at a blog.
A note from Richard Lindzen on statistically significant warming: 11-03-2008

Yesterday, in response to the thread on “3 of 4 global metrics show nearly flat temperature anomaly in the last decade” I got a short note from MIT’s Richard Lindzen along with a graph. I asked if I could post it, and he graciously agreed: (go see it.)

Look at the attached. There has been no warming since 1997 and no
statistically significant warming since 1995. Why bother with the
arguments about an El Nino anomaly in 1998? (Incidentally, the red
fuzz represents the error ‘bars’.)

Best wishes,

Dick

==================================================
Richard S. Lindzen
Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Sciences
MIT Cambridge, MA 02139
======
Recent story from The Guardian

· Testimony to US Congress will also criticise lobbyists
· 'Revolutionary' policies needed to tackle crisis

Ed Pilkington in New York
The Guardian, Monday June 23, 2008
Article history

James Hansen, one of the world's leading climate scientists, will today call for the chief executives of large fossil fuel companies to be put on trial for high crimes against humanity and nature, accusing them of actively spreading doubt about global warming in the same way that tobacco companies blurred the links between smoking and cancer.


Hansen will use the symbolically charged 20th anniversary of his groundbreaking speech (pdf) to the US Congress - in which he was among the first to sound the alarm over the reality of global warming - to argue that radical steps need to be taken immediately if the "perfect storm" of irreversible climate change is not to become inevitable.

Speaking before Congress again, he will accuse the chief executive officers of companies such as ExxonMobil and Peabody Energy of being fully aware of the disinformation about climate change they are spreading.

In an interview with the Guardian he said: "When you are in that kind of position, as the CEO of one the primary players who have been putting out misinformation even via organisations that affect what gets into school textbooks, then I think that's a crime." {What?}

He is also considering personally targeting members of Congress who have a poor track record on climate change in the coming November elections. He will campaign to have several of them unseated. {Don't we have laws about civil servants entering politics or is that just regarding those on the right?}
Hansen's speech to Congress on June 23 1988 is seen as a seminal moment in bringing the threat of global warming to the public's attention. (I love this, they treated public as singular, let me thing about that.) At a time when most scientists were still hesitant to speak out, he said the evidence of the greenhouse gas effect was 99% certain, adding "it is time to stop waffling".

He will tell the House select committee on energy independence and global warming this afternoon that he is now 99% certain that the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere has already risen beyond the safe level...{So, why bring it up?}

His sharpest words are reserved for the special interests he blames for public confusion about the nature of the global warming threat. "The problem is not political will, it's the alligator shoes - the lobbyists. It's the fact that money talks in Washington, and that democracy is not working the way it's intended to work."..

His sharpest words are reserved for the special interests he blames for public confusion about the nature of the global warming threat. "The problem is not political will, it's the alligator shoes - the lobbyists. It's the fact that money talks in Washington, and that democracy is not working the way it's intended to work."....
I guess we are to infer that all lobbyists with alligator shoes only urge against global warming and that the green movement has no traction because the alligator men's shoes are talking money, which would get my attention.

Further, one can easily infer, Dr. Hansen thinks we have a democracy. You know, the form of government where the mob yells down the opposition and does what it want. His mob isn't able to kill off their opposition - yet.

If Dr. Hansen will tell you how smart he is, we should expect he can speak English. I don't see having to interpret what the Wizard of NASA is trying to say. This is not a barroom argument. (I recall Frank Sullivan's "The Cliche Expert," which you will never find, but I recommend.) Anyway, I am sure he has a high federal job level and is looking forward to his pension.


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