Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

June 12, 2008

Earth's temperature


I think the delete button in a link field published this prematurely.  I was going to flesh it out for tomorrow, but I figure I should send it out now.  In addition, I am not sure I did not make the graphs unreadable, in the meantime, so you can check back to the prior email, if I did.  Sorry for the rush job, but I will still take tomorrow off.

Click on the title for a detailed chat about the earth's temperature.   What I found interesting is that observers are a bit peeved that NASA keeps changing the earth's prior numbers, as well as overstate current numbers.  Below are two graphs claiming to represent the same date from the same NASA. 

This is important to pay attention to.  If you look at NASA for anytime, with a suspicious eye, you start to see this guy Hanson, ther NASA spkesman/scientist, promotes himself and is a political advocate at NASA, not an administrator.  I have noticed him spinning for years; he says things which are not what NASA studies and data show, like it is freaking cold in Antartica.  Click here for Little Green Footballs on him.

Anyway, read the article from Britain for some background, which Hanson would not give you. To many Europeans, the earth has not been getting warmer since 1998 and won't start again until 2015.   Have you noticed the shifting language in the U.S.to "Global Change" from "Global Warming."  (Told you about thisa year ago.) I get tired of moving targets.  However, it is wiser to complain of something that is normal, so you can't be off. I am collecting money to stop air density changes. 

Do we spend hundreds of billions of dollars on a program based upon the following?  Take your pick of the same data.

1999 2007
      

Labels: ,

February 07, 2008

The missing news: global non-warming

I missed this one. I will do more homework on the background. According the article started below, Global Warming seems to have stopped seven years ago. The author is the BBC Science Writer and the rest of the article can be found by clicking the title. Notice the photo: a polar bear enjoying the best fishing in years.

Has global warming stopped?

David Whitehouse

Published 19 December 2007

'The fact is that the global temperature of 2007 is statistically the same as 2006 and every year since 2001'. Plus read Mark Lynas's response

Global warming stopped? Surely not. What heresy is this? Haven’t we been told that the science of global warming is settled beyond doubt and that all that’s left to the so-called sceptics is the odd errant glacier that refuses to melt?

Aren’t we told that if we don’t act now rising temperatures will render most of the surface of the Earth uninhabitable within our lifetimes? But as we digest these apocalyptic comments, read the recent IPCC’s Synthesis report that says climate change could become irreversible. Witness the drama at Bali as news emerges that something is not quite right in the global warming camp.

With only few days remaining in 2007, the indications are the global temperature for this year is the same as that for 2006 – there has been no warming over the 12 months.

But is this just a blip in the ever upward trend you may ask? No.

The fact is that the global temperature of 2007 is statistically the same as 2006 as well as every year since 2001. Global warming has, temporarily or permanently, ceased. Temperatures across the world are not increasing as they should according to the fundamental theory behind global warming – the greenhouse effect. Something else is happening and it is vital that we find out what or else we may spend hundreds of billions of pounds needlessly....

...But here it starts getting messy and, perhaps, a little inconvenient for some. Looking at the global temperatures as used by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the UK’s Met Office and the IPCC (and indeed Al Gore) it’s apparent that there has been a sharp rise since about 1980.

The period 1980-98 was one of rapid warming – a temperature increase of about 0.5 degrees C (CO2 rose from 340ppm to 370ppm). But since then the global temperature has been flat (whilst the CO2 has relentlessly risen from 370ppm to 380ppm). This means that the global temperature today is about 0.3 deg less than it would have been had the rapid increase continued

For the past decade the world has not warmed. Global warming has stopped. It’s not a viewpoint or a sceptic’s inaccuracy. It’s an observational fact....

I have heard it said, by scientists, journalists and politicians, that the time for argument is over and that further scientific debate only causes delay in action. But the wish to know exactly what is going on is independent of politics and scientists must never bend their desire for knowledge to any political cause, however noble.

The science is fascinating, the ramifications profound, but we are fools if we think we have a sufficient understanding of such a complicated system as the Earth’s atmosphere’s interaction with sunlight to decide. We know far less than many think we do or would like you to think we do. We must explain why global warming has stopped.

Labels: