Gene's Footnotes

I have never been impressed by the messenger and always inspect the message, which I now understand is not the norm. People prefer to filter out discordant information. As such, I am frequently confronted with, "Where did you hear that...." Well, here you go. If you want an email version, send me an email.

February 05, 2015

Insanity Replaces Junk Science

The National Post, a real newspaper out of Toronto, has a column called "Junk Science" that would make one chuckle if the junkies were not in power. For example, the statistics show mass vaccination for measles does not really work, even if you vaccinated everyone. A vaccine works as advertised for less than 25% of the people and that wanes over time. 

On the other hand, before government geniuses, 100% of children got measles, a relatively harmless childhood disease, so every adult had a life-long immunity. No problems existed for pregnant women. I suppose the illogic could be amusing, if not expensive and harmful. As well, it is more of the sprawl of government control.

Intrigued by recent junk science, I asked Mr. Google what the sea level was at Manhattan, N.Y.

There were endless pages of projections and illustration of Manhattan under water by 2100. Look it up, it is amazing how PR can skew reality.  No facts, only projections based upon projections. This is what happens when normal people do not hit true believers in the nose with a rolled magazine. 

The National Post gave NOW Magazine of Toronto the Rubber Duck award for publishing that by 2100 most of the CN Tower would be under water. This would be more than 1,500 plus feet of ocean rise. I am not exactly sure as Canadians use grams or liters or something like that. This projection is not silly, it is insane. Still, dopes will read it and vote for a politician who wants to tax them to build a 1,000 tall dike.  Recently, Gov. Moonbeam of California announced by 2100 LAX would be underwater; the next day he retracted the stupid comment, but, per normal, the drones watched the TV news and are in a panic over rising tides. BTW, LAX is at 100 feet above sea level. 

This took me to:  http://www.dec.ny.gov/energy/45202.html

The scope of our government's stupid positions is out weigh by the arrogance. 

Sea Level Rise

Projections and Impacts for New York

aerial view of Long Island
Rising seas and increased storm surges will
put New York's coastlines at risk.

By 2100 scientists project that sea levels along New York's coastlines and estuaries will likely be 18 to 50 inches higher, though they could be as much as 75 inches higher.

In New York's coastal marine counties, home to more than half of the state's citizens, higher sea levels already are intensifying storm surges and flood events. As the seas rise further, coastal communities face growing risks of damage or disruption.

Water expands as it warms, and global mean sea level has been rising since the end of the last ice age. Until the 20th Century the change was small, but then warming sped up as accumulating greenhouse gases trapped more heat in the atmosphere. The oceans grew warmer, making the seas rise faster.

Most of the sea-level rise observed to date has been due to the thermal expansion of warming waters. But today, added water from melting glaciers and land ice sheets is starting to contribute more to sea-level rise than heat-driven expansion of existing seawater. And the Arctic and Antarctic have abundant supplies of land ice yet to melt, all of which will add to sea levels.

Enough greenhouse gases already have accumulated in the atmosphere to lock in sea-level rise for centuries, or even millennia. The longer we continue to emit large amounts of greenhouse gases, the more rapidly the seas will rise...
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This official, expensive web site information is, of course, 100% propaganda, which is not necessary considering our public schools do a fine job of canceling out reality.  There is no cause or effect provable regarding CO2 and warming. What is demonstrated is that AFTER warming, CO2 rises. 
The entire 20th Century did not see global warming, but wait, I am confused, are we not in climate change, as the world is cooling.  So, apparently the non global warming is causing the ocean to heat up, which is not true in any event. 
The lack of solar activity is leading us into a very cold next few decades, but that is probably CO2 somehow as well.  
Anyway, our government says melting ice causes the sea level to rise. Greg mentioned the other day a good example: put ice in a glass of water so the level is at the very top. As the ice melts, the water level decreases. 
From:  http://www.skepticalscience.com/Past-150000-Years-of-Sea-Level-History-Suggests-High-Rates-of-Future-Sea-Level-Rise.html

Figure 3a - Correlation of Soreq Cave (red line) and eastern Mediterranean (black line) oxygen-18 isotope signals. 3b - Eastern Mediterranean Sea oxygen-18 isotope record from another foram species (green line) and the highest probability sea level curve (blue line). The coloured dots and grey-shaded columns denote other paleodata used to validate and synchronize the reconstructions. From Grant (2012).  
Don't get excited, just look for the blue line for the discovered sea level. The Red Sea is at an historical low. What this means is obvious to any but the True Believer. 

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January 08, 2008

Oceans, glaciers, and a new ice age


I visited Robert Felix' web site recently after hearing him on radio again. He is the author of Not by fire but by ice a warning that we have it all wrong, we are entering an ice age, not dangerous warming. Below is a small sample of items from his site. He is sort of a Drudge Report of climate.

Felix mentioned in passing in this interview that NOAH now estimates there are 3,000,000 underwater volcanoes; he feels they are are key to ocean warming, which he accepts, in addition to solar activity.

The change in the ocean leads to a change in wind patterns that could create the ice age. He also mentioned Mt. Ranier's glacier is increasing 18 feet per year. Shasta's are growing rapidly. Mont Blanc has doubled in four years and New Zealand's glaciers are all growing. Franz Joseph by 3 feet per DAY. Below is a link to a confusing Alaskan glaciers growth.

For anyone interested in hearing "the rest of the story" his site is a good resource. He mentioned that five states just had all-time low temperatures and the TV news had a meteorologist saying it was no big deal, there is no trend here. Felix chuckled and said we should imagine what the media would report if five states reported all-time high temperatures.

At some point, our mental filters start to steer us off a cliff as we look up to avoid bird poop.

A sampling:

1. This year will probably set all time records for snow fall and record low temperatures: Here
2. The Ice Age is Coming! So says Zbigniew Jaworowski, world-renowned atmospheric scientist and mountaineer, who has excavated ice out of 17 glaciers on six continents in his 50-year career. The shift from warm to cool climate might have already started, says Jaworowski.
See the Winter 2003-2004 issue of 21st Century Science and Technology, p. 52-65. HERE


3.
Kyoto is pointless, say 60 leading scientists 4 Apr 2006 - More than 60 leading international climate-change experts ask Canada's prime minister to review Canada's global warming policies. See Kyoto Pointless

4. 19,000 American scientists have signed the following:

We urge the United States government to reject the global warming agreement that was written in Kyoto, Japan in December, 1997, and any other similar proposals. The proposed limits on greenhouse gases would harm the environment, hinder the advance of science and technology, and damage the health and welfare of mankind.

There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gasses is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth.

To see who these folks are: Here

5. Sea level is not rising:
Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner was interviewed by Gregory Murphy on June 6 for EIR. Dr. Mörner is the head of the Paleogeophysics and Geodynamics department at Stockholm University in Sweden. He is past president of the INQUA Commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution, and leader of the Maldives Sea Level Project. Dr. Mörner has been studying the sea level and its effects on coastal areas for some 35 years.

EIR: What is the real state of the sea-level rising?

Mörner: You have to look at that in a lot of different ways. ... we can see that the sea level was indeed rising, from, let us say, 1850 to 1930-40. And that rise had a rate in the order of 1 millimeter per year. Not more. 1.1 is the exact figure.

That ended in 1940, and there had been no rise until 1970 ... There's no trend, absolutely no trend.... and then we go to satellite altimetry, and I will return to that.

Another way of looking at what is going on is the tide gauge. Tide gauging is very complicated, because it gives different answers for wherever you are in the world. But we have to rely on geology when we interpret it. So, for example, those people in the IPCC choose Hong Kong, which has six tide gauges, and they choose the record of one, which gives 2.3 mm per year rise of sea level. Every geologist knows that that is a subsiding area. It's the compaction of sediment; it is the only record which you shouldn't use.

... Not even ignorance could be responsible for a thing like that. ...So tide gauges, you have to treat very, very carefully. Now, back to satellite altimetry. From 1992 to 2002, [the graph of the sea level] was a straight line, variability along a straight line, but absolutely no trend whatsoever. We could see those spikes: a very rapid rise, but then in half a year, they fall back again. But absolutely no trend, and to have a sea-level rise, you need a trend....

Interview: Here

6. Alaskan glaciers advance one-third mile in less than a year
17 Jul 07 - "At least three glaciers in the same bay have advanced in one year," says scientist at the Geophysical Institute at the University of Alaska Fairbanks
See Alaskan Glaciers Advance One-Third Mile

7.

Antarctic Ice Sheet Growing

Sea Levels Falling

8 Nov 06 –– Research scientists D.J. Wingham et al. analyzed satellite
altimeter echoes to determine changes in volume of the Antarctic ice
sheet from 1992 to 2003. This survey, in their words, "covers 85% of
the East Antarctic ice sheet and 51% of the West Antarctic ice sheet,"
which together comprise "72% of the grounded ice sheet."

They found that the ice sheet is growing at 5 ± 1 mm year-." Not only
is the ice sheet growing thicker, its volume is increasing. The researchers
estimate that "72% of the Antarctic ice sheet is gaining 27 ± 29 Gt year,
sufficient to "lower [my' italics] global sea levels by 0.08 mm year."

This net extraction of water from the global ocean, according to Wingham
et al., occurs because "mass gains from accumulating snow, particularly on
the Antarctic Peninsula and within East Antarctica, exceed the ice dynamic
mass loss from West Antarctica."

Contrary to all the horror stories one hears about rising sea levels that
gobble up coastal lowlands worldwide, the real-world data suggests just
the opposite effect.

Reference
Wingham, D.J., Shepherd, A., Muir, A. and Marshall, G.J. 2006.
"Mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet. Philosophical Transactions
of the Royal Society A
, 364: 1627-1635. See CO2 Science site HERE

8. Dutch team uses hi tech to determine Arctic Sea Levels are falling 2mm/yr. They say they have a high degree of confidence and it is up to geophysicists to explain it. HERE

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Of course, all these people are probably on the payroll of sourthern real estate brokers.

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