Update: time to panic

Update:

1.   I think the tipping point I have been warning about for sometime has happened.  Take care.  Oil is over $100 a barrel today ($41 when Obama took office).  It is not going down for a long time, if ever.  Notice, the media isn't screaming daily that the president has to be impeached for increasing gasoline prices.  Indeed, the president promised a rapid increase in energy prices. 

There has been plenty of oil in the world, plenty here but we are not allowed to drill. The price has been going up, even as use is going down rapidly, because the dollar is being devalued.  Who want to be paid in rubles. The dollar is now 20% less than ten years ago.  So, oil, gold, silver and so on were increasing in apparent price, but only if you are paying in US dollars.  Now, however, there is an earthquake that is going to upset the flow of oil.  Even the fear of such a thing will run the price up even faster than now. We are lucky spring is coming. 

In November, the local gas station sold gas at $2.91 a gallon.  That is four months ago and it is now $3.35.  Hello.  I won't even speculate where it will go, but you are not ready for it.  I hope you bought silver two years ago when I started squirming.  It is still safe to buy it as it is not an investment, it is a safe-haven.  Not like that?  Buy a few years supply of canned coffee.  Seriously.

2.  The weird item:  as I noted many times, the commerce clause of the Constitution does not permit Obama care.  A federal court has so rule and there has been no appeal or no request for an injunction.  Therefore, there is no bill and anyone who continues to spend money on it is stealing.  In my world of law, this is an impeachable offense.  

I wrote to Rep. GIbson and explained this.  The House has banned further spending on certain matters.  

What is weird is how few even pay attention to the Court's ruling.  It is treated like one game in the World Series.  It is not.  It was a one game play-off, unless you immediately appealed.  I think the time to appeal has passed on the Florida case.  Thus, the law of the land is that the insurance bill is unconstitutional.  I would project the clogged heads in D.C. will catch on. 

3.  If you can't figure out what is going on in Wisconsin, it is simple.  The state is going to remove mandatory extortion of union dues to a union that spend the money to subvert the state.  The protesting is  just more dull teachers doing what they are told. We call them useful idiots, in the political science jargon. 

That's about it for now.  Just wanted to get everyone in a panic.  It is a good time to panic.  Seriously.  

US Cooling

A synthesis of reports of the

 National Climatic Data Center:

Most Recent 12-Month Period (Feb. Jan.) 1998-2011

Average = 54.09 deg. F

Trend = – 0.96 deg. F/ Decade (- 9.6 deg. F/century)

Even as the concentration of carbon dioxide continues to rise, global temperatures have not kept pace. For the contiguous United States, temperatures are in free-fall.

The U.S. has be most comprehensive data set, but I think we can safely say Europe is freezing.  

I wonder if the last two months are included in the numbers.

The UN and so on have reported an increase of temperature will occur during these years.  The government should recalibrate thermometers so we are actually warming, like they do with the inflation and unemployment numbers so the party line is not adversely affected.

Obamacare and Judge Vinson

On 1/31 the decision of Judge Vinson was filed, starting the time to appeal which ends in at the end of the month.  After that, the opinion stands unless reversed in a new case by the Supreme Court.  Below is a interesting summary from a Tea Party Letter.  The text can be found by clicking on the title.

Note, the decision has not been appealed and no stay has been requested, meaning the law is void and any attempt to pursue it is illegal.  It is a fraud and usurpation of power.  This is not the case where a stay is granted pending appeal, which is something the Attorney General should have done the same day.  Note where things sit:

...Judge Roger Vinson, in Pensacola, Fla., ruled that as a result of the unconstitutionality of the "individual mandate" that requires people to buy insurance, the entire law must be declared void.

"I must reluctantly conclude that Congress exceeded the bounds of its authority in passing the act with the individual mandate. That is not to say, of course, that Congress is without power to address the problems and inequities in our health care system. The health care market is more than one-sixth of the national economy, and without doubt Congress has the power to reform and regulate this market. That has not been disputed in this case. The principal dispute has been about how Congress chose to exercise that power here," Vinson wrote.

"While the individual mandate was clearly 'necessary and essential' to the act as drafted, it is not 'necessary and essential' to health care reform in general," he continued. "Because the individual mandate is unconstitutional and not severable, the entire act must be declared void."...

Department of Justice spokeswoman Tracy Schmaler said the department plans to appeal Vinson's ruling to the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals. 

"We strongly disagree with the court's ruling today and continue to believe - as other federal courts have found - that the Affordable Care Act is constitutional," she said. "There is clear and well-established legal precedent that Congress acted within its constitutional authority in passing this law and we are confident that we will ultimately prevail on appeal.

"We are analyzing this opinion to determine what steps, if any - including seeking a stay - are necessary while the appeal is pending to continue our progress toward ensuring that Americans do not lose out on the important protections this law provides, that the millions of children and adults who depend on Medicaid programs receive the care the law requires, and that the millions of seniors on Medicare receive the benefits they need," she added.

Recall my frequent observation, these people believe in the end and dismiss any respect for the means.  Of course, all their voters should have medical care paid for by taxpayers....  Whart is wrong with everyone paying for everyone?

 America, on the other hand, is alone in history in its powerful tradition of looking to the means, due process, the rules of the nation.  At least, it that used to be what our leaders believed.  We are a nation of sovereign powers that joined together in a constitution for group protection.  That agreement was not the appointment of a new king.

Our tradition comes from resisting tyrants.  Now, they are within out borders and dismissive of the law, the negative commands as Mr. Obama sees the Constitution.  The current leftist PR campaign, which has to be organized, is that Judge Vinson's decision is a crazy outlier, a Dred Scot, judicial activism gone wild.  (They are apparently now against this activism.  Curious.)

There is no arguing with these people, they must be brushed aside if we wish to retain our culture.  Argument requires a respect for the process of the argument.  This is not within the philosophy of the Marxists.

Buy Cans of Coffee

I have been doing manual labor, so I sleep often and don't consider blogging a good reason to stay awake.  However, I came across an interesting article, below, from a science fiction site.  It actually addresses science as well as fiction, not blurring the two together.  Anyway, before depositing it for you, let's recap the last few years, as I have been away:

1.  There is no global warming and no one talks about it except for idiots who say the cold is the result of warming.

2.  Ice cap is coming back.

3.  Dollar is collapsing.

4.  Silver has gone from 11, when I started yelling, to over 30

5.  Obamacare is, indeed, unconstitutional.

6.  People finally can see a socialist when one stumbles in the room.

7.  Muslims still kill people, but, of course, we can't act on that.

8.  Cost of food is at an all time high (I still don't know what they mean by that)

9.  Another year of no hurricanes smashing cities.

10.  etc etc.  It must annoy you that all my ranting is correct.

Just thought I would point all this out, though obvious, so as to focus the mind and, also, to tell I told you so, which makes me feel better as I don't get paid for this.

So, if I have your interest, things to watch:

Prices have only started to go up.  If you regret missing the silver call, buy coffee in cans immediately.  (Greg suggest incandescent bulbs).  Silver is still a way to preserve your wealth, but get coins.

A constitutional fight is beginning, the sort not familiar to Americans since FDR's fascism, especially since most of us are stupid, now.  There should be no problem quelling the instability in the Supreme Court as Obama's latest appointees should recuse themselves when cases come up, but they won't as we are dealing with politics, now, not law. So, look for the final battle, here. The nation you grew up in could vanish overnight, rather than incrementally the way it is now.

ICAN has been handed over to Arab nations, so they will control who can have a ".com" and things will get ugly.  Why? you may ask.  It is because Carter already gave away the Panama Canal. Article below addresses Obama taking full control of the Internet without any distress in the press.  Imaging if Bush took control?  Obama, now, can do what was just done in Egypt and what China does daily - censor communication.

With those controls in place, the key attack will be against radio and cable as commentators are not controlled by the media complex.  The news is, even FOX, but not the characters. (Before making consensus claims about FOX, watch it.  Murdoch, btw, is a socialist, not a right with extremist.

Rapid inflation will hit in the near term,  so, as I say,  buy peanut butter and cans of coffee.  Get rid of dollars or take out a fixed mortgage as you will be paying it back with monopoly money.  If you keep your money in a bank, you will get what you deserve for being ignorant. You have never seen the likes of what is coming, so a word to the wise must be heeded.

But, good news, the US said there will be no increase in anyone's social security this year because there is NO INFLATION.  That is a good thing as I thought gasoline was over $3.30 per gallon.


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Could a U.S. government crackdown take America off the internet?

 Annalee Newitz — With the threat of today's protests looming in Egypt, on Thursday Egyptian authorities cut the nation off the internet. No online communication could pass in or out of the country. We investigated whether a similar lockdown could happen in America.

Photo via asharkyu/Shutterstock

How the Egyptian government erased its citizens from the internet

No one is completely certain what happened to the Egyptian internet, but it appears that the shutdown started off early in the week with the country blocking Twitter and Facebook access for those within its borders. Then, shortly after Thursday midnight local time, the country simply disappeared from the internet. With a few exceptions like the stock exchange, Egyptian websites and services were unreachable; the network traffic over Egyptian borders dropped by an astonishing 90 percent. Cell phone networks were also down. Today Vodafone confirmed that all mobile providers been "obliged" by the Egyptian government to shut off service to customers in that country.

How did it happen? Most likely, according to experts, the Egyptian authorities made a few phone calls to the country's handful of large internet service providers. Their request would have been simple: Make it impossible for Egyptians to communicate with other countries and each other using the internet. But carrying out this order isn't like hitting an off switch.

To erase Egypt, those providers would have to corrupt routers, nodes in the internet which direct data traffic. Each router helps traffic along by advertising the many IP addresses it knows using a system called border gateway protocol (BGP). When you visit a website in Egypt, your internet provider uses BGP to ask an Egyptian router, "Hey, how do I get to this Egyptian blog?" The router responds by using BGP to send you on your merry way to the right address. BGP is basically the border language that helps different parts of the internet speak to each other.

But early Friday morning, thousands of routers in Egypt had their minds wiped. Suddenly they had no idea where anything was on the Egyptian internet. When your internet provider looked for web addresses inside Egypt, it found nothing. Egyptian routers no longer gave meaningful answers to BGP requests for border crossings.

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James CowieRenesys observed the Egyptian shutdown as it happened. He wrote yesterday in a blog post:

Renesys observed the virtually simultaneous withdrawal of all routes to Egyptian networks in the Internet's global routing table. Approximately 3,500 individual BGP routes were withdrawn, leaving no valid paths by which the rest of the world could continue to exchange Internet traffic with Egypt's service providers. Virtually all of Egypt's Internet addresses are now unreachable, worldwide.

This is a completely different situation from the modest Internet manipulation that took place in Tunisia, where specific routes were blocked, or Iran, where the Internet stayed up in a rate-limited form designed to make Internet connectivity painfully slow. The Egyptian government's actions tonight have essentially wiped their country from the global map.

Could the same thing happen in America?

Egypt's internet infrastructure is quite sophisticated, and it's one of the most highly networked countries in its immediate region. Still, it was relatively easy to take the country off the net because it had a limited number of network providers. In addition, the Egyptian government has broad powers over its communication, which is why a company like Vodafone has to cut off its millions of Egyptian customers when the government comes knocking.

Despite these differences, it's very possible that Egypt's swift shutdown of its country's internet could provide a model for American governments of the future.

Alex Stamos, a computer security expert with iSEC Partners, said he'd spoken recently with U.S. officials about this possibility in the event of an internet-based attack on America. (Full disclosure: iSEC Partners has done work for io9's parent company, Gawker Media.) Stamos thinks the U.S. probably wouldn't take the country off the internet, but instead try to prevent Americans from reaching "enemy" countries or regions online. He said via e-mail:

I wouldn't be shocked if the US didn't have a gameplan to make China, Russia, North Korea and/or Iran go away in case of WWIII. The first step would be to have major US networks (UUNET, Level3, Sprint, AT&T, Verizon, Comcast, Google, BT) advertise these countries' IP ranges and "null route" the resulting packets, meaning throw them away.

He said that shutting down the internet within U.S. borders would be "almost impossible," but:

The government certainly could force AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, and T-Mobile to turn off wireless IP routing and for Comcast, AT&T, Verizon, Charter, Time Warner and the other consumer ISPs to basically shut down their networks or at least their edge routers. It's unlikely that the government would be able to force every small ISP and college to stop their peering, and corporations and other customers with multiple ISPs would still have connectivity.

I also spoke with network expert Matthew Ringel, a former network engineer with Tufts University who has worked extensively with BGP routers. When I asked whether he thought the US government could imitate the Egyptian model, he was dubious - but only about their ability to do it as swiftly as Egypt did. Given how complicated the US internet is, he said, "In the immediate term [shutting it down would be] very hard, bordering on impossible, but you could do it in a few days to a week."

Both Ringel and Stamos agreed that another possibility would be to cut off physical access to the internet.

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There are only a limited number of cablesleading out of the U.S. to other parts of the world (see cable map above). Physically cut them and you've got what network geeks call "an air gap." No network traffic can cross the empty air between the cable's severed ends.

But wouldn't it be illegal for the U.S. government to shut down the internet?

All the scenarios for shutting down the American internet involve some degree of collusion between the government and private companies who provide internet access to millions of people in the U.S. But could the government really make AT&T shut off your network and phone? Wouldn't that be illegal?

For now, as long as the president doesn't declare martial law, it would be. There are a number of laws that protect internet service providers from government control. But that could change very soon. Several bills have been working their way through Congress that would give President Obama "kill switch" control over the internet during a "national cyber-emergency."

CNET's Declan McCullagh has been following the bills, first proposed by Senator Joe Lieberman and Senator Susan Collins. This week, he reported that the bill has been revised and is picking up steam:

The revised version includes new language saying that the federal government's designation of vital Internet or other computer systems "shall not be subject to judicial review." Another addition expanded the definition of critical infrastructure to include "provider of information technology," and a third authorized the submission of "classified" reports on security vulnerabilities.

The idea of creating what some critics have called an Internet "kill switch" that the president could flip in an emergency is not exactly new.

A draft Senate proposal that CNET obtained in August 2009 authorized the White House to "declare a cybersecurity emergency," and another from Sens. Jay Rockefeller (D-W.V.) and Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) would have explicitly given the government the power to "order the disconnection" of certain networks or Web sites. House Democrats have taken a similar approach in their own proposals.

Such a bill would allow the President to order shutdown of the American internet without any checks from the Judiciary.

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This is something that worries digital liberties groups like the Electronic Frontier Foundation. Eva Galperin, an activist with the group who works on international issues, emphasized that Obama might be closer than we think to having a kill switch for the American internet. In a statement, she said:

What's going on in Egypt highlights the risk of granting any leader, up to and including the President of the United States, unilateral power to shut down portions of the internet. There have been a couple of bills in Congress which we read as potentially giving the President broad and vague powers to take emergency steps to protect the US in case of a "cyberemergency" declared by the president. Any such bill would have to be narrowly tailored for a specific threat, with review by congress and the courts.

All these legal niceties and predictions may not matter if the U.S. government perceives itself as under threat. As Galperin put it, "If the US government actually severs cables in order to cut off internet access in the US, then they have lost all regard for the rule of law and all bets are off."