Doubleplusgood doublespeak

I just read a summary of a report from NOAA that climate change has tipped and, even if we abruptly stopped producing CO2, we are in for 1,000 years of climate change. 

I can top this report, written by a straight-faced chemist whose entire career is publishing about meteorology.  I say we are in for 200,000 years of climate, maybe even longer. You can take that to the bank.

But what of NASA's notion that the cooling trend shows (a correlation, you see) greenhouse gases rate (CO2 being a deadly green house gas) is down. 

NASA GISS explains below, do read it as I took the time to point out the use of propaganda's false logic, the variables that tricked them into incorrect prognostications. The sun, it seems, has a little input - now. But, don't worry, they predict, the terror will return. You can't hold a good religion down:

However, let's assume that the solar irradiance does not recover. In that case, the negative forcing, relative to the mean solar irradiance is equivalent to seven years of CO₂ increase at current growth rates. So do not look for a new "Little Ice Age" in any case

My, the negative forcing. What a concept.

Please peruse the following. It is interesting and probably contains some numbers not created by politicians. Can't say I understand the pontificating as being very scientific. It is fun to see people doing back flips.

Please note, also, that the

Annual growth rate of climate forcing by long-lived greenhouse gases (GHGs) slowed from a peak close to 0.05 W/m² per year around 1980-85 to about 0.035 W/m² in recent years due to slowdown of CH₄ and CFC growth rates [ref. 6].

Lest you be concerned that green house gases are declining, which is the guess of all guesses, NASA predicts a growth in methane will get us back on track. You wonder if they listen to themselves. I have to go out an fart some more.

Oh, W/m² per year is watts per square meter squared per year. So, it must be NASA did not actually measure the "gases", but uses warming, represented by watts, as the clear indicator of the gases, as there is no question CO2, for example, causes warming. Thus, if it is warmer, then the gases caused it. I got it. A direct relationship is obvious as are all causations.

Also, if the rate slowed, the climate should not get cool, should it, just stop doing whatever they say it is, so fast? 

My last comment is there no consideration given to undersea volcanoes. Must also have negligible impact, like the sun and volcanic debris in the sky. 

....Finally, in response to popular demand, we comment on the likelihood of a near-term global temperature record. Specifically, the question has been asked whether the relatively cool 2008 alters the expectation we expressed in last year's summary that a new global record [new global record!  Think about that] was likely within the next 2-3 years (now the next 1-2 years). Response to that query requires consideration of several factors: [here it comes, but we will be out of Iraq in 18 or 16 months from someday.] 

Natural dynamical variability: The largest contribution is the Southern Oscillation, the El Niño-La Niña cycle. [doesn't the sun govern here?] The Niño 3.4 temperature anomaly (the bottom line in the top panel of Fig. 2), suggests that the La Niña may be almost over, but the anomaly fell back (cooled) to -0.7°C last month (December). It is conceivable that this tropical cycle could dip back into a strong La Niña, as happened, e.g., in 1975. [Lions and Tigers and Bears, oh my] However, for the tropical Pacific to stay in that mode for both 2009 and 2010 would require a longer La Niña phase than has existed in the past half century, so it is unlikely. [Tut, tut] Indeed, subsurface and surface tropical ocean temperatures suggest that the system is "recharged", i.e., poised, for the next El Niño, so there is a good chance that one may occur in 2009. Global temperature anomalies tend to lag tropical anomalies by 3-6 months. [Global warming got derailed by some odd, natural variability they overlooked.]

Solar irradiance: The solar output remains low (Fig. 4), at the lowest level in the period since satellite measurements began in the late 1970s, [proof of solar cooling] and the time since the prior solar minimum is already 12 years, two years longer than the prior two cycles. This has led some people to speculate that we may be entering a "Maunder Minimum" situation, a period of reduced irradiance that could last for decades. Most solar physicists [ah, most of them] expect the irradiance to begin to pick up in the next several months — there are indications, from the polarity of the few recent sunspots, that the new cycle is beginning. [Whew]

Figure 4, at right. Solar irradiance through November 2008 from Frohlich and Lean [ref. 8]. (Click for large GIF or PDF.)

However, let's assume that the solar irradiance does not recover. [which assumes it is ill]  In that case, the negative forcing, relative to the mean solar irradiance is equivalent to seven years of CO₂ increase at current growth rates. [Any help here?]  So do not look for a new "Little Ice Age" in any case. [Double whew] Assuming that the solar irradiance begins to recover this year, as expected, [like they expected the decrease this year] there is still some effect on the likelihood of a near-term global temperature record due (sic) to the unusually prolonged [sez me] solar minimum. Because of the large thermal inertia of the ocean, the surface temperature response to the 10-12 year solar cycle lags the irradiance variation by 1-2 years. Thus, [Thus!] relative to the mean, i.e, the hypothetical case in which the sun had a constant average irradiance, actual solar irradiance will continue to provide a negative anomaly for the next 2-3 years. [So, what nature does is an anomaly.]

Volcanic aerosols: Colorful sunsets the past several months suggest a non-negligible stratospheric aerosol amount at northern latitudes. [Huh?] Unfortunately, as noted in the 2008 Bjerknes Lecture [ref. 9], the instrument capable of precise measurements of aerosol optical depth depth (SAGE, the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment) is sitting on a shelf at Langley Research Center. [So, we will just guess] Stratospheric aerosol amounts are estimated from crude measurements to be moderate. [Huh?] The aerosols from an Aleutian volcano, which is thought to be the primary source, [of?] are at relatively low altitude and high latitudes, where they should be mostly flushed out this winter. Their effect in the next two years should be negligible. [being low and high and flushed and thought to be important should do something.]

Greenhouse gases: Annual growth rate of climate forcing by long-lived greenhouse gases (GHGs) slowed from a peak close to 0.05 W/m² per year around 1980-85 to about 0.035 W/m² in recent years due to slowdown of CH₄ and CFC growth rates [ref. 6]. Resumed methane growth, if it continued in 2008 as in 2007, adds about 0.005 W/m². [if it continues] From climate models and empirical analyses, this GHG forcing trend translates into a mean warming rate of ~0.15°C per decade.

Summary:The Southern Oscillation and increasing GHGs continue to be, respectively, the dominant factors affecting interannual and decadal temperature change. Solar irradiance has a non-negligible effect on global temperature [see, e.g., ref. 7, which empirically estimates a somewhat larger solar cycle effect than that estimated by others who have teased a solar effect out of data with different methods]. Given our expectation of the next El Niño beginning in 2009 or 2010, it still seems likely that a new global temperature record will be set within the next 1-2 years, despite the moderate negative effect of the reduced solar irradiance. 

So, the lesson is avoid psuedo-scientists who adopt such words as: should, suggest, as expected, it is conceivable, it seems likely, good chance, if it continues, thought to be, empirically estimates, and most scientists.

Also, I think the report means: don't blame us if our predictions are not coming true. It's the darned variables, stupid. If we only knew!

My two cents: The concept of an earth  temperature is unknowable.  How do you measure the wind of a cyclone? You can't. We guess and average. 

The earth and it climate is a massive, dynamic system and we are just sticking a thermometer out the window to see what's up.  Of course, the thermometer is no longer the same as 25 years ago, the measuring is different,  the window has been changed, and we didn't have any people around a few million years ago to create a baseline.

By the way, Columbia U, et seq.,  found solar flares to be, by far, the largest contributor to temperature and that threw off the Mann curve. That is why Mars was getting warmer in the late 90's, early 2000's. If prior blogs still exists, and I didn't see them published just now, you can find this. Think about it - space, the earth, the sun, light waves....

More on citizenship cases

From Newsmax.com by way of Irene:

A little more info. The article was about the operative of an intelligence company used by Obama dropping in on State Department passport records (there is an allegation of cleansing Obama's). The company used Mission Impossible language to stay clean.

If there was something amiss, it should have been found long ago. Could you imagine a removal from office after yesterday's coronation?

...

The Obama campaign acknowledged at its “Fight the Smears” Web site that Obama was a foreign national until the age of 18, by virtue of his father’s British then Kenyan citizenship.

“Since Sen. Obama has neither renounced his U.S. citizenship nor sworn an oath of allegiance to Kenya, his Kenyan citizenship automatically expired on Aug. 4,1982,” the Web site stated.

“Fight the Smears” attempted to debunk rumors that Obama was not a U.S. citizen by producing a 2007 computer-generated copy of his certification of live birth.

“The truth is, Barack Obama was born in the state of Hawaii in 1961, a native citizen of the United States of America,” the Web site states.

However, “native citizen” is a colloquialism, not a legal term. It is not the same as “natural-born citizen,” the requirement to be president set out in Article 2, Section 1 of the Constitution.

Chief Justice John Roberts has scheduled a Supreme Court conference on Jan. 23 on Lightfoot v. Bowen, one of several cases alleging that Obama is not a “natural born” citizen because of his birthright British citizenship....

There are "several cases?" Geez.

Losing focus

I submitted feedback to the WSJ that think makes sense to repeat, here. The topic was concern over the nationalization of medical "care." Now, I have to figure out how to earn some money.
=====

It is an generally accepted assumption that the government is incompetent, as a rule not merely an occasional error or transgression. If this is ignorant, as one writer noted, name some examples that disprove this.

Also, it is a given we love individual freedom and the ability to act, though we are losing track of what that really means.

These assumptions, however, do not stop socialism. The sad thing is we have become stupid, thanks to our public schools, and do not have the ability to think clearly, nor recall the cultural history our forefathers died preserving. We are a nation of addicts with our hands out to Big Pusher, who mouth the principles of self-determination and freedom, while giving it up each day. By the way, the Big Pusher is only returning your money to you, less vigorish.

The use of kickbacks has always been the tool of fascists. Few of us will look at a handout and say, "No thanks." I am thinking of de Tocqueville who commented how early American waiters did not accept tips. They did their job and were paid. Tipping was an insult. We know not to take a loan from a mobster, lest we be tied in for life, but not a bureaucrat.

We are no longer that nation. We do not think in terms of liberty (unless we are injured) or moral duty (except for that of others). We think in terms of ends, not means. In short, we have become as stupid as the people we fought to be free of. Why morality is relative, haven't you heard?

Of course centralized medicine is inferior, but, you see, it is free. I lived in Canada and they only brag about their various systems (which are Provence based, not national as our politicians say) when talking to Americans. Canadians like boasting about having something better, even if it is not.

The person who dies because he could not get a MRI (England, Canada) or because the health department won't treat a smoker (England) is always someone else, the foolish think. In England, one can buy private insurance so as to avoid the socialized system, so Mr. Obama's smoking wouldn't be a problem.

As long as people can get a useless, free flue shot because they are terrified of bird flu, that is all that matters. They will NEVER vote against getting money, even if it pointless or costs more to get it pre-tax. Americans are joining the dull-witted who don't understand there is no free lunch. Indeed, it is this unchecked impulse that is crushing the insurance business, making way for socialized medicine.

Socialist know and use this. Once the health care for minors is passed (you know, the 28 year olds), game over. The mob has learned to vote itself money. The rich will just leave, as they did in England. The masses, as they are now properly called, will just keep voting for money, protection, and politically correct, feel-good whimsy cures, like saving the world from global warming.

All that said, I find it interesting that no one, not even critics, has thought to wonder if the Constitution permits a national health care program. I can't find it. Health is a reserved rights of the states. When I mention this to people, I get a vague stare. There is a hope I will discuss football.

I can hear the other side now, those who have already lost their way, saying a national program is more efficient and uniform. This is the ends justifies the means, the exact thing the Constitution was designed to thwart. Maybe, we can get the trains to run on time.

The Constitution no longer works, so we are over. We are two state votes shy of a constitutional convention where all those annoying restrictions in the Bill of Rights can be removed. This is not the country in which I was born.

A law suit by a citizen wondering about the lack of proof of qualification for office by the president never has a day in court. It is whisked away by those who deny the possibility of a distasteful outcome. The Obama people don't even show up. Then, we are being told what sort of light bulb to use - what section of the Constitution covers this?

None. It is one of endless examples of how Global Warming Fantasy is used to instill fear and permit unconstitutional laws. We have become a nation that merely react to fear, rather than thinks. Just look how we are pushed by vague notions: global warming, global cooling, stem cell funding, nanotechnology, bird flu, terrorist plots, Communist subversion, sweeteners, SUVs, ozone, population explosion, mean corporations, and so on. We vote for "change" without a clue as to what is coming, because TV likes the candidate.

When one new crisis fades, another is invented. The government just does what it wants by passing a law which does not even pay lip service to Constitutional provisions. Rep. Maxine Waters lets slip "we" are taking over the banking system.

So, we give away our rights on a daily basis? That is the real concern. Individual problems are a distraction when the basic assumptions are wrong.

The people who are in our legislatures don't even know this. They are just dull bureaucrats trying to appeal to the base impulses of the voters - who still trust them - and follow the direction of their bosses. as few actually read or know what they are voting on. Now, we will register bullets, replace sugar with deadly sweeteners, close coal mines and nuclear plants, and force people to pay for poor health services. People no longer matter, the fantasy of the betterment of "society" has taken root. Next, there will be an outrage at artificial sweeteners. Consistency is an archaic term.

I recall in Canada, the health system got back to the tax people, who were champions of the stop smoking push, and told them to lower cigarette taxes because they needed to restore the tax revenue from smokers, who were cutting back on purchases or buying from the natives. This is socialism. There is no clear moral center; you can tell this from how loudly socialists accuse others of this flaw, thereby appearing to be moral.

It is a better topic of reflection to go one step beyond the crisis of the day. If we are socialists, then, the the path of national "care" is a no-brainer? If we don't want to follow the Constitution and just look to the ends, who needs due process? If we want to fancy ourselves, and our friends, in charge of others, time for socialism.

The Marxists know that a sucker is born every minute.

By the way, if you get a bad flu, you only die from scurvy, so take mega doses of Vitamin C, while it is still legal.

Car of the Future

Click ME for a video of what's to come.

WIthout global warming, it would be really cold

Image from Climate Audit

Snarky commentary, little work for me:

How To Link Record Cold And Snow To Global Warming…

17 12 2008

…in a few easy steps!

1. If a winter is warmer than the average, claim that as evidence that the globe is warming and the climate is changing, because winters are supposed to be cooler
2. If the following winter is warmer than the average, go back to 1.
3. If the following winter is average or colder, claim that as evidence that the globe is warming and the climate is changing, because even if winters were initially supposed to be as cold as the average, since recent winters have been warmer than that, then an average or cooler winter is a change in climate (and it is due to global warming because everything is)

Sadly, the above is not an example of sarcasm, but the unvarnished truth of some unbelievable debate currently at play in Italy. I may (or may not) translate the whole thing, but for now I’ll simply point to the record-breaking snowfalls in Piedmont and the Vallée d’Aoste, Northwestern Italy, where :

• the village of Balme has seen 170cm, 5′7″ of snow in just 24h (previous record in that part of the Alps: 115cm, 3′9″, again in Balme in 1933)
• Limone Piemonte has been buried in more than 200cm, 6′7″ of snow
• Champoluc, Vallée d’Aoste, is likely to be evacuated because of too much snow

etc

British private medical insurance

Daumier, Human Weakness

Since we have lost control of medical care with this past election, regardless of the Constitutional restrictions on the Federal Government, you may be interested in a web site I located in England. It offers private insurance for those who want to have secure care.

BTW (Texting lingo) I was looking for a source of red yeast rice supplements, as my doctor suggested they work great and I need to get my cholesterol levels sub human (they are OK, but down we go). My friend Ruth is off the scale on the low end, so I will probe as to what she eats. She tells me every day she has a salad for lunch and navy beans on rice for dinner.(Too lazy to cook)

If you buy an extract in the U.S., you buy nothing as the FDA has had all the stuff in it that worked removed. Why?

The active substance is just like a patented, approved statin drug. Can't have people eating food without a prescription. They come at you from all sides, don't they?

I think I may just buy the rice and eat it, unless the food becomes regulated as a drug (like they want to do with Vitamin C). One could go to Alibaba and buy a drum of extract from China. Anyone want a few pounds? Maybe a trip to Canada.

Click on the title for the English site.

Saga Private Medical Insurance

Why do I need private medical insurance?

In a lifetime we spend literally thousands of pounds insuring our cars, our homes, our valuables and even our lives. Yet basic good health is perhaps the most precious asset we have, and all too often it is not given enough consideration.

The National Health Service is one of the best healthcare systems in the world for the treatment of accidents and emergencies. However, the sheer number of operations needed for less urgent conditions means that it continues to struggle to cope with the increasing demand on its resources. There are still a substantial number of people in the UK waiting for admission to hospital for treatment**. Private medical insurance enables you to avoid these lengthy delays.
**Source: Department of Health.

A range of policies

Saga has been providing private medical insurance for more than 18 years. In 2007, our survey showed that many people aged 50 and over would prefer to have private healthcare. With two product ranges Saga private medical insurance is more accessible and affordable for the over 50.

* Saga HealthPlans provide all the benefits of traditional private medical insurance through a choice of four policies.
* Saga Targeted Healthcare policies make health cover more affordable by concentrating on specific conditions that commonly affect people aged 50 and over.

etc

The plans cover what we would consider insurance. The mid-plan gets you stuff like an MRI, rather than wait for months, a self-regulating cost feature of central planning. Once a person dies, they really don't need the MRI.

Saga HealthPlan Secure is our mid–range policy as it limits the amount you can claim for out–patient treatment to £650 per year. However, in addition to providing full cover for MRI, CT, and PET scans it also includes £300 for physiotherapy and complementary therapies following related in–patient treatment. Saga HealthPlan Secure also includes cover for the provision of home nursing and a private ambulance.

So, the young want free health care and the older folks want to live. Me, I want to eat rice. How is it our politicians are so obtuse as to what it is they are talking about? All that matter, I guess, is the rabble votes for them. You won't hear about the failing of the Canadian and English systems as long as demagogues can be elected.

As individual freedom dies, individual cunning will expand, like every prior country in the world, like in the Europe we are told is so wonderful. Life will revolve around beating the tax man. Only now, the rich won't be able to move to America to protect their money.

In America, we used to have the only voluntary tax system. We trusted people to pay their taxes, as it was their government. People just reported their numbers and paid.

Sounds archaic, doesn't it. We now enter the long cycle of history of people suffering at the hands of the controlling central government and its unknowable tax code. It will be too late to wake one day and say, "You can't do that. It is unconstitutional." They tell me Texas was admitted to the union only with the proviso that is has the right to leave. Interesting, y'all.

Like the man said, the founding fathers gave us a republic, "if you can keep it." Once these new socialistic measures are in place, there is no removing them. The people have learned they can vote themselves other people's money. Of course, they are also stupid to think there is a free lunch or rice. I suppose it all comes down to education, or the lack of it. Or, should I say, a training in critical thinking. All along, those running the mess will keep on giving themselves money. What is the next Fannie Mae?

So, get peanut butter and buy land far from the coming glaciers and dictators, say Costa Rica. Work on how to not pay taxes, not be regulated, and not rely on the web of debt without getting arrested or shot. The Amish understand.













Introducing the Saga HealthPlan range





Saga HealthPlan Super




Saga Private Medical Healthcare



Saga HealthPlan Super is our ‘top of the range’ policy, which provides a very high level of protection for in–patient and day–patient cover and offers unlimited out–patient treatment including consultations, diagnostic tests, scans and physiotherapy. It also includes cover for home nursing, complementary therapies such as oesteopathy and homeopathy, an overseas evacuation or repatriation service, the use of a private ambulance and even assistance towards some major dental work.

...

(One of the plans)

Pravda agrees with me: global cooling

Reference from Irene (i.e., no work by Gene)

Click on title for Pravda. I have one more on this stuff, then we should move on to where will live in the ice age. (Not by fire, but by Ice - a book - indicates that once could live across the street from the glacier and the earth is not really that much colder.)

The conclusion:

The AGW theory (my car causes global warming) is based on data that is drawn from a ridiculously narrow span of time and it demonstrates a wanton disregard for the ‘big picture’ of long-term climate change. The data from paleoclimatology, including ice cores, sea sediments, geology, paleobotany and zoology, indicate that we are on the verge of entering another Ice Age, and the data also shows that severe and lasting climate change can occur within only a few years. While concern over the dubious threat of Anthropogenic Global Warming continues to distract the attention of people throughout the world, the very real threat of the approaching and inevitable Ice Age, which will render large parts of the Northern Hemisphere uninhabitable, is being foolishly ignored.

Greg: maybe buy land in Kentucky.

PRAVDA:

Earth on the Brink of an Ice Age

Front page / Science / Planet Earth

11.01.2009 Source: Pravda.Ru

Pages: 123

The earth is now on the brink of entering another Ice Age, according to a large and compelling body of evidence from within the field of climate science. Many sources of data which provide our knowledge base of long-term climate change indicate that the warm, twelve thousand year-long Holocene period will rather soon be coming to an end, and then the earth will return to Ice Age conditions for the next 100,000 years.

Ice cores, ocean sediment cores, the geologic record, and studies of ancient plant and animal populations all demonstrate a regular cyclic pattern of Ice Age glacial maximums which each last about 100,000 years, separated by intervening warm interglacials, each lasting about 12,000 years.

Most of the long-term climate data collected from various sources also shows a strong correlation with the three astronomical cycles which are together known as the Milankovich cycles. The three Milankovich cycles include the tilt of the earth, which varies over a 41,000 year period; the shape of the earth’s orbit, which changes over a period of 100,000 years; and the Precession of the Equinoxes, also known as the earth’s ‘wobble’, which gradually rotates the direction of the earth’s axis over a period of 26,000 years. According to the Milankovich theory of Ice Age causation, these three astronomical cycles, each of which effects the amount of solar radiation which reaches the earth, act together to produce the cycle of cold Ice Age maximums and warm interglacials.

Elements of the astronomical theory of Ice Age causation were first presented by the French mathematician Joseph Adhemar in 1842, it was developed further by the English prodigy Joseph Croll in 1875, and the theory was established in its present form by the Serbian mathematician Milutin Milankovich in the 1920s and 30s. In 1976 the prestigious journal “Science” published a landmark paper by John Imbrie, James Hays, and Nicholas Shackleton entitled “Variations in the Earth's orbit: Pacemaker of the Ice Ages,” which described the correlation which the trio of scientist/authors had found between the climate data obtained from ocean sediment cores and the patterns of the astronomical Milankovich cycles. Since the late 1970s, the Milankovich theory has remained the predominant theory to account for Ice Age causation among climate scientists, and hence the Milankovich theory is always described in textbooks of climatology and in encyclopaedia articles about the Ice Ages.

In their 1976 paper Imbrie, Hays, and Shackleton wrote that their own climate forecasts, which were based on sea-sediment cores and the Milankovich cycles, "… must be qualified in two ways. First, they apply only to the natural component of future climatic trends - and not to anthropogenic effects such as those due to the burning of fossil fuels. Second, they describe only the long-term trends, because they are linked to orbital variations with periods of 20,000 years and longer. Climatic oscillations at higher frequencies are not predicted... the results indicate that the long-term trend over the next 20,000 years is towards extensive Northern Hemisphere glaciation and cooler climate."

During the 1970s the famous American astronomer Carl Sagan and other scientists began promoting the theory that ‘greenhouse gasses’ such as carbon dioxide, or CO2, produced by human industries could lead to catastrophic global warming. Since the 1970s the theory of ‘anthropogenic global warming’ (AGW) has gradually become accepted as fact by most of the academic establishment, and their acceptance of AGW has inspired a global movement to encourage governments to make pivotal changes to prevent the worsening of AGW.

The central piece of evidence that is cited in support of the AGW theory is the famous ‘hockey stick’ graph which was presented by Al Gore in his 2006 film “An Inconvenient Truth.” The ‘hockey stick’ graph shows an acute upward spike in global temperatures which began during the 1970s and continued through the winter of 2006/07. However, this warming trend was interrupted when the winter of 2007/8 delivered the deepest snow cover to the Northern Hemisphere since 1966 and the coldest temperatures since 2001. It now appears that the current Northern Hemisphere winter of 2008/09 will probably equal or surpass the winter of 2007/08 for both snow depth and cold temperatures.

The main flaw in the AGW theory is that its proponents focus on evidence from only the past one thousand years at most, while ignoring the evidence from the past million years -- evidence which is essential for a true understanding of climatology. The data from paleoclimatology provides us with an alternative and more credible explanation for the recent global temperature spike, based on the natural cycle of Ice Age maximums and interglacials.

In 1999 the British journal “Nature” published the results of data derived from glacial ice cores collected at the Russia ’s Vostok station in Antarctica during the 1990s. The Vostok ice core data includes a record of global atmospheric temperatures, atmospheric CO2 and other greenhouse gases, and airborne particulates starting from 420,000 years ago and continuing through history up to our present time.

The graph of the Vostok ice core data shows that the Ice Age maximums and the warm interglacials occur within a regular cyclic pattern, the graph-line of which is similar to the rhythm of a heartbeat on an electrocardiogram tracing. The Vostok data graph also shows that changes in global CO2 levels lag behind global temperature changes by about eight hundred years. What that indicates is that global temperatures precede or cause global CO2 changes, and not the reverse. In other words, increasing atmospheric CO2 is not causing global temperature to rise; instead the natural cyclic increase in global temperature is causing global CO2 to rise.

The reason that global CO2 levels rise and fall in response to the global temperature is because cold water is capable of retaining more CO2 than warm water. That is why carbonated beverages loose their carbonation, or CO2, when stored in a warm environment. We store our carbonated soft drinks, wine, and beer in a cool place to prevent them from loosing their ‘fizz’, which is a feature of their carbonation, or CO2 content. The earth is currently warming as a result of the natural Ice Age cycle, and as the oceans get warmer, they release increasing amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere.

Because the release of CO2 by the warming oceans lags behind the changes in the earth’s temperature, we should expect to see global CO2 levels continue to rise for another eight hundred years after the end of the earth’s current Interglacial warm period. We should already be eight hundred years into the coming Ice Age before global CO2 levels begin to drop in response to the increased chilling of the world’s oceans.

The Vostok ice core data graph reveals that global CO2 levels regularly rose and fell in a direct response to the natural cycle of Ice Age minimums and maximums during the past four hundred and twenty thousand years. Within that natural cycle, about every 110,000 years global temperatures, followed by global CO2 levels, have peaked at approximately the same levels which they are at today.

About 325,000 years ago, at the peak of a warm interglacial, global temperature and CO2 levels were higher than they are today. Today we are again at the peak, and near to the end, of a warm interglacial, and the earth is now due to enter the next Ice Age. If we are lucky, we may have a few years to prepare for it. The Ice Age will return, as it always has, in its regular and natural cycle, with or without any influence from the effects of AGW.

The AGW theory is based on data that is drawn from a ridiculously narrow span of time and it demonstrates a wanton disregard for the ‘big picture’ of long-term climate change. The data from paleoclimatology, including ice cores, sea sediments, geology, paleobotany and zoology, indicate that we are on the verge of entering another Ice Age, and the data also shows that severe and lasting climate change can occur within only a few years. While concern over the dubious threat of Anthropogenic Global Warming continues to distract the attention of people throughout the world, the very real threat of the approaching and inevitable Ice Age, which will render large parts of the Northern Hemisphere uninhabitable, is being foolishly ignored.

Gregory F. Fegel

Discuss this article with others on Pravda.ru forum

It is possible the Russians may want to sell more fuel, so they made this up.